SPAL vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
TOR
1 - 1
SPA
62%
20%
18%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
SPA
2 - 0
TRI
49%
23%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
LAZ
3 - 1
SPA
68%
18%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
SPA
1 - 1
ACM
22%
23%
55%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
COM
1 - 0
SPA
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
PRO
1 - 1
NAP
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
INT
2 - 1
PRO
82%
11%
7%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
TOR
1 - 1
PRO
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
PRO
1 - 0
LAZ
43%
25%
31%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
TRI
4 - 0
PRO
50%
23%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |