SPAL vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1952 |
COM
1 - 3
SPA
52%
23%
26%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1952 |
TOR
1 - 0
SPA
63%
20%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1952 |
SPA
2 - 1
ATL
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1952 |
SPA
0 - 1
JUV
25%
23%
51%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1952 |
SPA
1 - 0
ASL
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1952 |
PRO
2 - 2
ACM
20%
21%
59%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1952 |
FIO
3 - 0
PRO
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1952 |
PRO
1 - 1
TOR
39%
24%
38%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1952 |
PAD
1 - 0
PRO
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1952 |
PRO
1 - 1
ATL
59%
21%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |