SPAL vs Pistoiese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
18.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
PAR
1 - 0
SPA
47%
31%
23%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
SPA
1 - 0
GEN
53%
27%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
SAM
1 - 1
SPA
56%
27%
17%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
SPA
2 - 2
LEC
62%
24%
14%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
SPA
1 - 1
BRE
60%
24%
16%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
PIS
4 - 1
SSS
62%
25%
14%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
SAM
0 - 0
PIS
51%
28%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
TER
1 - 1
PIS
46%
30%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
PIS
1 - 0
VER
50%
29%
21%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
CES
0 - 1
PIS
50%
29%
21%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |