SPAL vs Pistoiese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
22.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
SSS
1 - 1
SPA
48%
30%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
SPA
2 - 0
LEC
53%
28%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
CES
1 - 2
SPA
54%
29%
17%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
SPA
1 - 1
PAL
48%
28%
24%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
BRE
1 - 1
SPA
61%
25%
15%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
PIS
2 - 2
PAL
52%
27%
21%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
USF
1 - 2
PIS
55%
27%
18%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
PIS
1 - 0
TAR
64%
24%
13%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
SAM
0 - 0
PIS
59%
25%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
PIS
1 - 0
NOC
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |