SPAL vs Pescina V. Giovenca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
14%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
PES
1 - 0
SPA
45%
27%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SPA
2 - 0
GIU
64%
23%
13%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
RIM
1 - 1
SPA
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
SPA
2 - 0
ASA
61%
24%
14%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
POT
2 - 2
SPA
28%
27%
45%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Pescina V. Giovenca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
PES
1 - 1
VER
29%
30%
41%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
VIR
1 - 1
PES
62%
23%
15%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
PES
3 - 0
TER
25%
27%
48%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
TAR
2 - 0
PES
61%
24%
15%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
RIM
3 - 1
PES
73%
18%
9%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |