SPAL vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
TER
1 - 0
SPA
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
SPA
3 - 2
VIC
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
REG
2 - 1
SPA
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
SPA
1 - 1
ASS
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
SPA
6 - 2
RIM
90%
8%
2%
|
70 | 33 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 1
PIS
42%
25%
32%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
TER
3 - 1
PAR
39%
25%
37%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 2
USC
48%
27%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
POR
0 - 4
PAR
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 0
BEN
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |