SPAL vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
SPA
0 - 2
JUV
27%
23%
50%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
GEN
0 - 0
SPA
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1962 |
SPA
0 - 0
ACM
25%
24%
52%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
VNZ
0 - 1
SPA
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1962 |
SPA
2 - 5
ATL
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
ACM
2 - 0
PAL
85%
10%
5%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
PAL
1 - 1
SAM
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1962 |
PAL
2 - 2
MOD
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
ATL
1 - 0
PAL
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1962 |
NAP
3 - 0
PAL
59%
22%
18%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |