SPAL vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
24.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
FIO
0 - 0
SPA
64%
18%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
SPA
2 - 3
UDI
60%
20%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
ACM
1 - 1
SPA
89%
7%
4%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
SPA
2 - 1
BOL
51%
22%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1951 |
UNI
3 - 3
SPA
53%
20%
27%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1951 |
JUV
4 - 0
PAL
85%
10%
6%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
PAL
4 - 1
PAD
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
PAL
0 - 2
TOR
36%
24%
40%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
NAP
1 - 2
PAL
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
PRO
0 - 0
PAL
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |