SPAL vs Cosenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
SPA
0 - 0
BAR
58%
21%
21%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
ASS
0 - 0
SPA
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
UDI
0 - 1
SPA
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
MOD
4 - 2
SPA
15%
22%
63%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
VIS
0 - 2
SPA
7%
18%
75%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Cosenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
NUO
0 - 0
USA
73%
18%
9%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
NUO
0 - 0
ACD
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
NUO
3 - 1
JUS
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 2020 |
EMP
1 - 5
NUO
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Jul. 2020 |
NUO
2 - 1
PIS
39%
28%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |