SPAL vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
13.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
GEN
2 - 0
SPA
59%
25%
16%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
SPA
3 - 0
PES
51%
26%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
SSS
0 - 0
SPA
41%
30%
29%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1975 |
SPA
1 - 1
PRG
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1975 |
ACM
1 - 0
SPA
80%
14%
7%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
NOV
0 - 0
VIC
37%
31%
32%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
NOV
0 - 0
MOD
62%
24%
14%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
TAR
0 - 0
NOV
49%
30%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1975 |
NOV
1 - 2
VER
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1975 |
TOR
2 - 0
NOV
82%
13%
5%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |