SPAL vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
27.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1952 |
TRI
2 - 1
SPA
43%
24%
34%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1951 |
SPA
3 - 0
PAL
54%
22%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
FIO
0 - 0
SPA
64%
18%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
SPA
2 - 3
UDI
60%
20%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
ACM
1 - 1
SPA
89%
7%
4%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1951 |
NAP
1 - 2
JUV
26%
24%
50%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1951 |
COM
2 - 4
NAP
48%
23%
29%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
NAP
0 - 0
TRI
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
LAZ
1 - 0
NAP
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
NAP
1 - 2
PAL
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |