SPAL vs Montevarchi Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
MOD
0 - 0
SPA
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
SPA
1 - 1
ACL
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
LIV
1 - 2
SPA
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
SPA
1 - 0
CAR
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
REG
1 - 2
SPA
57%
26%
17%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
MON
2 - 2
LEC
26%
26%
48%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
SAN
0 - 0
MON
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
MON
1 - 1
SIE
15%
24%
61%
|
38 | 67 | 29 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
REG
1 - 0
MON
78%
17%
6%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
MON
0 - 0
PIS
17%
26%
57%
|
38 | 70 | 32 | +1 |