SPAL vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
MAN
0 - 1
SPA
47%
25%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1962 |
SPA
1 - 1
VIC
58%
23%
20%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1962 |
SPA
3 - 1
FIO
28%
25%
47%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
BOL
4 - 1
SPA
74%
15%
11%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
SPA
3 - 0
ROM
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
CAT
3 - 2
MOD
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1962 |
MOD
2 - 2
ACM
10%
19%
71%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1962 |
MOD
1 - 0
SAM
28%
27%
45%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
VNZ
4 - 1
MOD
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
MOD
0 - 0
MAN
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |