SPAL vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
12.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
SPA
2 - 3
REG
75%
15%
10%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1958 |
BOL
2 - 1
SPA
74%
15%
11%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1958 |
MOD
0 - 6
SPA
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1958 |
SPA
2 - 1
ATL
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
ACM
4 - 2
SPA
81%
12%
7%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
BOL
4 - 3
MOD
83%
11%
6%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1958 |
REG
2 - 0
MOD
46%
24%
30%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 1958 |
MOD
0 - 6
SPA
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1958 |
BAR
0 - 0
MOD
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
MOD
1 - 1
ACM
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |