SPAL vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
41.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
LAZ
2 - 0
SPA
65%
23%
12%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
SPA
1 - 1
CES
56%
26%
18%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1981 |
TOR
4 - 0
SPA
79%
14%
7%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
CAT
2 - 0
SPA
40%
32%
28%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
SPA
1 - 0
BAR
68%
21%
11%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
ACM
1 - 0
ATL
75%
19%
7%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
PAL
3 - 1
ACM
23%
29%
48%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
ACM
0 - 1
SAM
71%
20%
9%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
LEC
2 - 3
ACM
24%
29%
47%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
VER
1 - 1
ACM
23%
29%
48%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |