SPAL vs Martina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
RIM
3 - 2
SPA
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
SPA
1 - 0
SOR
59%
24%
18%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
SPA
0 - 1
SPE
45%
27%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
PAV
3 - 2
SPA
35%
29%
36%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
SPA
1 - 0
CES
41%
28%
31%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Martina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 0
PAD
40%
27%
34%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
CHI
1 - 0
MAR
49%
26%
25%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 4
FER
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
BEN
1 - 0
MAR
47%
27%
27%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 0
FCC
41%
28%
31%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |