SPAL vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
29.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2000 |
COM
1 - 0
SPA
47%
28%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
SPA
1 - 1
CTT
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
SIE
1 - 1
SPA
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
SPA
2 - 1
VAR
45%
28%
28%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
BRE
0 - 0
SPA
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2000 |
ASL
1 - 1
PIS
39%
31%
30%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
USC
1 - 0
ASL
33%
29%
38%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
ASL
0 - 0
LEC
62%
22%
15%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
REG
0 - 0
ASL
42%
29%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
ASL
1 - 0
LIV
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |