SPAL vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
23.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
SPA
0 - 0
MOD
53%
22%
25%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
BRE
2 - 2
SPA
66%
17%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
SPA
2 - 1
SPE
64%
18%
18%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1949 |
VIC
2 - 2
SPA
55%
21%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
SPA
2 - 0
UNI
68%
17%
15%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
LIV
4 - 1
USA
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
REG
0 - 2
LIV
64%
17%
19%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
LIV
2 - 1
UNI
63%
20%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1949 |
NAP
0 - 0
LIV
52%
23%
26%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
LIV
2 - 1
VIC
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |