SPAL vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
18.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
15.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
PES
2 - 0
SPA
53%
29%
19%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1982 |
SPA
1 - 1
BRE
54%
27%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1982 |
PRG
1 - 0
SPA
63%
25%
12%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1982 |
SPA
1 - 0
SSS
59%
26%
15%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
PAL
2 - 1
SPA
63%
24%
13%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
LEC
2 - 2
RIM
57%
27%
16%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1982 |
VER
2 - 0
LEC
60%
25%
14%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1982 |
LEC
1 - 0
LAZ
42%
31%
27%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1982 |
SAM
0 - 0
LEC
67%
22%
11%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
LEC
0 - 0
REG
57%
28%
16%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |