SPAL vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
25.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
REG
1 - 1
SPA
59%
26%
15%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
SPA
1 - 0
USC
57%
27%
17%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
USF
1 - 0
SPA
58%
25%
17%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1982 |
SPA
0 - 0
PIS
51%
28%
22%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
VAR
2 - 0
SPA
65%
22%
13%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
LAZ
1 - 1
SSS
68%
21%
11%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
LAZ
0 - 3
PAL
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
VAR
1 - 1
LAZ
52%
27%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1982 |
USC
0 - 0
LAZ
38%
32%
30%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
LAZ
2 - 0
VER
65%
24%
12%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |