SPAL vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
17.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
REG
2 - 1
SPA
51%
29%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
SPA
0 - 0
LIV
65%
23%
12%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
FCC
1 - 0
SPA
37%
32%
32%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
CAT
1 - 0
SPA
40%
31%
29%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
SPA
0 - 1
TER
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
LAZ
1 - 1
MAN
55%
27%
17%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
PAD
0 - 0
LAZ
40%
32%
28%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
LAZ
3 - 1
TER
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
COM
0 - 0
LAZ
48%
29%
23%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
LAZ
1 - 0
LIV
62%
25%
14%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |