SPAL vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
36.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
INT
8 - 0
SPA
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1958 |
ATL
2 - 1
SPA
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
SPA
1 - 1
USA
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
TRI
0 - 1
SPA
53%
24%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
SPA
0 - 0
JUV
30%
24%
46%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
LAZ
1 - 1
UDI
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
FIO
1 - 1
LAZ
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
VIC
1 - 0
LAZ
42%
24%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1958 |
LAZ
1 - 0
FIO
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
LAZ
1 - 0
SAM
54%
21%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |