SPAL vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
35.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1957 |
PAD
3 - 0
SPA
60%
21%
18%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
SPA
2 - 2
FIO
29%
26%
45%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1957 |
SPA
1 - 1
VER
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
TOR
0 - 1
SPA
63%
20%
17%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
SPA
0 - 2
BOL
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1957 |
LAZ
1 - 0
UDI
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1957 |
LAZ
1 - 1
TOR
64%
20%
17%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1957 |
SAM
1 - 1
LAZ
52%
23%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ACM
37%
23%
40%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
JUV
3 - 1
LAZ
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |