SPAL vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
ACM
1 - 0
SPA
87%
9%
5%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
SPA
0 - 0
COM
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1952 |
FIO
1 - 1
SPA
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1952 |
ASL
2 - 0
SPA
49%
23%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1952 |
SPA
1 - 1
PAD
60%
21%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
LAZ
3 - 1
PRO
66%
19%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
NOV
2 - 2
LAZ
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1952 |
LAZ
1 - 2
UDI
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1952 |
LAZ
4 - 1
TRI
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1952 |
FIO
0 - 0
LAZ
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |