SPAL vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
44.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
SPA
2 - 0
VAR
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
BOL
1 - 3
SPA
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
SPA
1 - 1
ACM
17%
24%
59%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
VIC
3 - 1
SPA
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
SPA
0 - 0
TOR
38%
30%
33%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
JUV
0 - 0
ROM
65%
21%
15%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1965 |
LIV
2 - 0
JUV
63%
20%
18%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
CAT
1 - 1
JUV
29%
27%
44%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
JUV
4 - 1
VIC
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1965 |
JUV
1 - 0
LIV
55%
22%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |