SPAL vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
63.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
VNZ
2 - 2
SPA
46%
25%
30%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1961 |
SPA
0 - 0
LEC
55%
24%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
SPA
0 - 1
ATL
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
PAL
1 - 3
SPA
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
CAT
0 - 0
SPA
48%
25%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1961 |
PAN
1 - 1
JUV
34%
22%
44%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
JUV
1 - 0
ROM
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1961 |
ATL
3 - 1
JUV
18%
21%
62%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
JUV
2 - 2
LEC
91%
7%
3%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
PAD
2 - 1
JUV
24%
22%
55%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |