SPAL vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
57.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1960 |
VIC
3 - 1
SPA
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1960 |
SPA
2 - 2
NAP
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1960 |
BAR
0 - 0
SPA
42%
27%
32%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
SPA
0 - 3
ACM
24%
24%
52%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
SPA
1 - 0
ATL
49%
26%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1960 |
JUV
5 - 1
PAD
83%
11%
6%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1960 |
VIC
1 - 2
JUV
24%
23%
53%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1960 |
JUV
2 - 1
PAL
88%
8%
4%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
SAM
0 - 2
JUV
30%
24%
46%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
JUV
2 - 0
BAR
88%
8%
4%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |