SPAL vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
46.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 1958 |
REG
5 - 2
SPA
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1958 |
SPA
6 - 2
BOL
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
SPA
2 - 1
MOD
70%
18%
13%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
SPA
2 - 3
REG
75%
15%
10%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 1958 |
BOL
2 - 1
SPA
74%
15%
11%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1958 |
BOL
3 - 3
JUV
46%
22%
32%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
LAZ
2 - 0
JUV
40%
23%
37%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
SAM
2 - 3
JUV
38%
23%
39%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1958 |
TOR
1 - 2
JUV
38%
23%
39%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1958 |
JUV
3 - 1
BIE
80%
12%
8%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |