SPAL vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
51.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1956 |
INT
3 - 1
SPA
76%
15%
9%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
SPA
1 - 0
GEN
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
SPA
2 - 0
PAD
56%
24%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
FIO
0 - 0
SPA
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1956 |
SPA
1 - 2
TOR
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
BOL
0 - 1
JUV
43%
23%
35%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
JUV
0 - 0
VIC
79%
13%
7%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
PRO
2 - 2
JUV
24%
24%
52%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
JUV
1 - 0
INT
61%
19%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1956 |
JUV
1 - 0
LAZ
79%
13%
8%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |