SPAL vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
13.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
ACM
1 - 0
SPA
79%
14%
7%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1981 |
SPA
1 - 1
INT
22%
26%
52%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1981 |
PES
0 - 0
SPA
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1981 |
SPA
1 - 1
VER
67%
22%
11%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1981 |
SAM
2 - 1
SPA
61%
24%
14%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
VER
2 - 0
PES
47%
29%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1981 |
INT
2 - 0
VER
86%
10%
4%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1981 |
VER
2 - 0
ACM
17%
24%
58%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 1981 |
SPA
1 - 1
VER
67%
22%
11%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 1981 |
VER
0 - 0
VAR
51%
29%
20%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |