SPAL vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
16%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
31.1%
Draw
0-0
14.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.1%
27.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1975 |
ARZ
1 - 0
SPA
49%
27%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
SPA
1 - 0
FCC
54%
28%
18%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
PES
2 - 1
SPA
55%
25%
21%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
SPA
3 - 0
BRE
60%
25%
15%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
REG
2 - 1
SPA
46%
29%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1975 |
VER
0 - 0
PES
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
VER
2 - 1
REG
75%
18%
7%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
SSS
1 - 0
VER
28%
33%
39%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
VER
1 - 1
USF
66%
22%
12%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
USA
0 - 0
VER
33%
31%
36%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |