SPAL vs Real Giulianova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
17.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
USF
1 - 3
SPA
55%
26%
20%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
SPA
2 - 2
CTT
46%
28%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
PAD
2 - 2
SPA
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
NAP
1 - 0
SPA
58%
25%
17%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
SPA
1 - 0
FER
51%
27%
23%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Giulianova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
GIU
0 - 0
RIM
20%
27%
53%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
FER
1 - 0
GIU
51%
26%
23%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2005 |
GIU
2 - 2
TER
34%
27%
39%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
VIR
0 - 0
GIU
58%
25%
17%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
GIU
0 - 1
USF
30%
28%
42%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |