SPAL vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1960 |
FIO
3 - 1
SPA
80%
13%
7%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1960 |
LAZ
3 - 1
SPA
54%
23%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
SPA
1 - 1
SAM
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
PAD
6 - 3
SPA
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
USA
0 - 1
SPA
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1960 |
GEN
1 - 3
INT
28%
26%
47%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1960 |
USA
2 - 1
GEN
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
GEN
0 - 0
PAD
35%
27%
39%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
ATL
2 - 1
GEN
62%
20%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
GEN
2 - 6
JUV
17%
21%
62%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | -1 |