SPAL vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
34.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1959 |
VIC
1 - 1
SPA
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
TOR
1 - 0
SPA
61%
21%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1959 |
SPA
1 - 0
ROM
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
FIO
1 - 2
SPA
83%
11%
6%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
ACM
0 - 0
SPA
86%
9%
5%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1959 |
GEN
0 - 0
LAZ
47%
24%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
ACM
4 - 0
GEN
80%
12%
8%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1959 |
GEN
0 - 0
FIO
30%
25%
45%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
ROM
5 - 0
GEN
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
GEN
3 - 0
TOR
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |