SPAL vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1957 |
VIC
4 - 1
SPA
49%
25%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
SPA
1 - 0
PAL
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
TOR
3 - 2
SPA
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1957 |
SPA
1 - 1
ROM
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
NAP
0 - 1
SPA
63%
21%
17%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1957 |
GEN
0 - 1
ACM
21%
22%
57%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
GEN
5 - 2
BOL
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
INT
2 - 0
GEN
72%
16%
12%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1957 |
GEN
1 - 0
TOR
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
GEN
1 - 2
FIO
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |