SPAL vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1954 |
SPA
0 - 0
ACM
24%
23%
53%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
TRI
3 - 0
SPA
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
SPA
0 - 1
PAL
57%
22%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
FIO
1 - 1
SPA
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
SPA
0 - 1
LAZ
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1954 |
GEN
1 - 1
NAP
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
UDI
3 - 1
GEN
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
GEN
1 - 3
INT
26%
25%
49%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
GEN
3 - 1
LAZ
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
UNI
1 - 1
GEN
60%
21%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |