SPAL vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
47.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
BOL
4 - 1
SPA
74%
15%
11%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
SPA
3 - 0
ROM
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1962 |
TOR
2 - 1
SPA
53%
23%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
SAM
0 - 1
SPA
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
SPA
4 - 2
NAP
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
FIO
3 - 1
PAL
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
NAP
2 - 0
FIO
24%
24%
52%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1962 |
FIO
2 - 0
ATL
71%
17%
11%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
ACM
0 - 0
FIO
68%
17%
15%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
FIO
1 - 0
JUV
51%
22%
27%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |