SPAL vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
SPA
2 - 1
ROM
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
NAP
1 - 0
SPA
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
SPA
4 - 0
PAL
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
SPA
2 - 2
ATL
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1952 |
UDI
2 - 0
SPA
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
COM
2 - 1
FIO
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
FIO
0 - 2
TOR
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
FIO
0 - 0
LAZ
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
ACM
2 - 1
FIO
85%
10%
5%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1952 |
SAM
4 - 0
FIO
49%
25%
27%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |