SPAL vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1952 |
UDI
1 - 1
SPA
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
SPA
1 - 2
ACM
20%
22%
58%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
BOL
1 - 1
SPA
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
SPA
3 - 1
UNI
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
INT
1 - 0
SPA
84%
10%
6%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1952 |
ATL
1 - 0
FIO
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
FIO
1 - 0
UNI
71%
18%
12%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
PAD
1 - 1
FIO
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
FIO
5 - 0
COM
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
SAM
1 - 1
FIO
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |