SPAL vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
20.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1974 |
NOV
1 - 0
SPA
57%
26%
17%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1974 |
SPA
1 - 3
BRE
58%
26%
16%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1974 |
ARZ
1 - 0
SPA
48%
30%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1974 |
SPA
3 - 1
ATL
49%
30%
21%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
PRG
3 - 0
SPA
44%
32%
24%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1974 |
BRE
1 - 1
FCC
55%
27%
18%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1974 |
FCC
3 - 3
ARZ
51%
29%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1974 |
PAL
3 - 2
FCC
56%
28%
17%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1974 |
CAT
0 - 1
FCC
41%
33%
27%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
FCC
1 - 0
ASC
35%
30%
34%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |