SPAL vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
18.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1975 |
PES
2 - 1
SPA
55%
25%
21%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
SPA
3 - 0
BRE
60%
25%
15%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
REG
2 - 1
SPA
46%
29%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
SPA
2 - 2
PAL
50%
29%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
BRI
2 - 2
SPA
42%
30%
28%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1975 |
FCC
1 - 1
TAR
61%
26%
13%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
SSS
0 - 1
FCC
41%
33%
26%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
FCC
1 - 0
NOV
56%
28%
17%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
FCC
1 - 0
PES
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
ATL
1 - 0
FCC
52%
30%
18%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |