SPAL vs Chieti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
18.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
TER
0 - 0
SPA
46%
28%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2005 |
SPA
1 - 2
SSS
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
BEN
2 - 1
SPA
40%
31%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
SPA
1 - 0
GIU
58%
25%
17%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
USF
1 - 3
SPA
55%
26%
20%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
CHI
0 - 2
PAD
31%
30%
40%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
CHI
1 - 2
AVE
28%
30%
42%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
SSS
1 - 1
CHI
51%
29%
21%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
CHI
2 - 0
VIS
52%
28%
20%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
VIR
0 - 0
CHI
54%
26%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |