SPAL vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
19.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
0
24.5%
11.7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1976 |
FCC
2 - 0
SPA
51%
28%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
SPA
1 - 0
USF
53%
28%
19%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1976 |
SPA
2 - 1
PIA
56%
25%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
VAR
4 - 3
SPA
62%
24%
14%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
MOD
0 - 1
SPA
40%
30%
30%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1976 |
CAT
0 - 0
VIC
38%
32%
30%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
PAL
1 - 1
CAT
63%
26%
11%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1976 |
TER
0 - 1
CAT
71%
21%
8%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
CAT
1 - 0
TAR
42%
32%
27%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
SSS
2 - 0
CAT
55%
29%
16%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |