SPAL vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
ARZ
2 - 2
SPA
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
SPA
1 - 3
TRE
36%
27%
36%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2003 |
CES
0 - 0
SPA
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
SPA
3 - 0
ACL
46%
27%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
PIS
1 - 0
SPA
46%
28%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
ABN
2 - 1
CAR
67%
21%
13%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
CAR
0 - 1
REG
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
ALZ
1 - 3
CAR
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
CAR
0 - 1
PRO
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
CTT
3 - 1
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |