SPAL vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
REG
1 - 2
SPA
57%
26%
17%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
LEC
0 - 2
SPA
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
SPA
0 - 0
SAN
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1999 |
SPA
1 - 1
VIC
19%
26%
55%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1999 |
PIS
2 - 1
SPA
57%
27%
16%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
CAR
2 - 0
ABN
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
USC
1 - 2
CAR
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
CAR
2 - 2
LEC
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
CAR
0 - 0
SAN
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
LIV
1 - 0
CAR
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | -1 |