SPAL vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
28.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
ARZ
1 - 1
SPA
62%
23%
16%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
SPA
1 - 1
RIM
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
REG
1 - 0
SPA
45%
28%
26%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2004 |
SPA
1 - 0
ASL
45%
27%
27%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
ACL
2 - 1
SPA
59%
24%
18%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
PAD
2 - 2
NOV
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
ACL
1 - 0
PAD
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
PAD
1 - 1
VAR
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
PRO
3 - 1
PAD
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
PAD
2 - 2
RIM
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |