SPAL vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
PRO
1 - 0
SPA
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
SPE
1 - 0
SPA
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
SPA
0 - 1
REG
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
VAR
1 - 2
SPA
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
SPA
3 - 3
ARZ
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
ACP
1 - 1
PAD
28%
25%
47%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
PAD
3 - 0
PRO
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
CAR
2 - 2
PAD
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2002 |
PAD
2 - 3
CES
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
PAD
4 - 1
ACL
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |