SPAL vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
SPA
1 - 2
SSS
71%
18%
12%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
SPA
3 - 1
BAR
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
ACM
3 - 1
SPA
81%
12%
7%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
ATL
2 - 2
SPA
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1960 |
SPA
0 - 0
GEN
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
PAD
3 - 0
ACM
83%
12%
6%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
BOL
2 - 2
PAD
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
LAZ
2 - 0
PAD
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
PAD
1 - 2
NAP
63%
20%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1960 |
PAD
1 - 1
USA
76%
15%
9%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |