SPAL vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1958 |
UDI
1 - 2
SPA
66%
19%
15%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1958 |
SPA
1 - 2
SAM
36%
24%
40%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
BOL
3 - 2
SPA
72%
16%
12%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
SPA
0 - 3
LAZ
39%
25%
37%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
INT
8 - 0
SPA
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1958 |
PAD
1 - 1
FIO
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1958 |
NAP
2 - 1
PAD
59%
22%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
BAR
1 - 0
PAD
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
PAD
1 - 0
BOL
50%
23%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
USA
1 - 3
PAD
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |