SPAL vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
FIO
3 - 0
SPA
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
VER
1 - 2
SPA
57%
23%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1958 |
SPA
0 - 1
TOR
47%
25%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
BOL
0 - 1
SPA
74%
16%
11%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
SPA
1 - 2
NAP
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
PAD
0 - 0
UDI
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
USA
0 - 0
PAD
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1958 |
SAM
3 - 2
PAD
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
PAD
3 - 2
ACM
35%
23%
42%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
PAD
0 - 3
ATL
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |